this post was submitted on 14 Dec 2025
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I am happy that trans people can be who they want to be, even if there is still a long way to go. But I am thrown by how statistics, that consistently give numbers of <1% to 3% for transsexual people in the general population, don't match the number of transitioning stories I read online. I get why that is, safe space, confirmation bias and all, but it's such a major disconnect between experience and actual numbers that it constantly trips me up. From what I read online, the percentage of trans people feels like it's around 20-30%. Or, in this case, 50%.
There's another phenomenon that interacts here - there is an observed higher prevalence of LGBTQ in autism (discussed here https://sparkforautism.org/discover_article/autism-lgbtq-identity/ and various research papers). Niche forums such as Lemmy, Fediverse, even Reddit all feel like they also have a higher autism spectrum prevalence than a general population. So I would guess there's a double whammy on representation happening here - extra representation via safe space and shared interest on LGBTQ, extra representation ij autism spectrum, and an extra overlap between these two populations.