this post was submitted on 02 Oct 2025
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[–] brian@lemmy.ca 4 points 2 months ago (16 children)

Ok. I know that this isn't correct... But isn't it?

If you're having an unlimited number of rolls prior to your "real" roll, then you would be, in essence, creating a situation that has a statistically lower chance of happening.

[–] FearfulSalad@ttrpg.network 18 points 2 months ago (6 children)

Before you roll any dice, the chances of rolling two nat 1s are 1/400. But after you roll your first die, whatever it happened to be, your chances of rolling a nat 1 are 1/20. The chances of the entire scenario have no impact on the probability of the individual rolls

[–] brian@lemmy.ca 1 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Right but the way I took the meme was that you would roll until you get a 1, then deciding the next roll is the "real" one.

[–] kichae@wanderingadventure.party 2 points 2 months ago

brian@lemmy.ca The die doesn't know it just rolled a 1. History doesn't matter to it.

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